Antidumping process in Canada: previous experience, filing activities and outcomes

This paper addresses how a firm’s learning experience from prior filing activities during the antidumping process in Canada affects its future filing behavior and outcomes. Previous experience may affect both filing costs and outcome probabilities. By using the normal logit regression and multinomial logit regression to analyze Canadian antidumping data from 1993 to 2003, the paper shows that firms with previous filing experience are more likely to obtain final decisions, whether affirmative or negative from antidumping authorities rather than abandoning the process in mid-stream. This may be because prior experience increases petitioners’ effectiveness in arguing their cases. However, industries with experience decrease their future filing activities. This may due to the increasing likelihood of final negative outcomes and the significant cost incurred in the long process of investigation.