Resource type
Thesis type
(Project) M.Sc.
Date created
2020-11-16
Authors/Contributors
Author: Ng, Cherie
Abstract
Currently, most flexible group benefit plans are designed and priced based on deterministic assumptions about the plan members' option selections. This can cause the adverse selection spiral, threatening the sustainability of the plan. We therefore propose a comprehensive framework with a novel pricing formula that incorporates both a model for claims and a model for plan members' enrollment decisions to prevent adverse selection. We find through simulation that our proposed pricing formula outperforms the traditional pricing practice by keeping flex plans sustainable over time. In addition to preventing the adverse selection spiral through pricing, our framework also serves as a tool to evaluate the impact of other parameters such as changes in plan designs, health costs, and member decision.
Document
Identifier
etd21145
Copyright statement
Copyright is held by the author(s).
Supervisor or Senior Supervisor
Thesis advisor: Bégin, Jean-François
Thesis advisor: Sanders, Barbara
Language
English
Member of collection
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